Reflections on the 2012 live event: link

Held Thursday July 19th, 3:30pm, Purple Room, Kellogg Center, Michigan State University 

Held in conjunction with the Artificial Life 13 conference, hosted by the BEACON center at Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.

Highly-recursive processes, embedded patterns, and inherent high-dimensionality, within which events of interest may be embedded.

Processes that result in rare events that are of large magnitude or extreme in nature, which are related to events of interest.

Processes that result in significant fluctuations, within which events of interest are embedded. 

Social, cognitive, or neuronal processes that are not explicitly causal (diffuse and/or strongly interacting). 

Updates

Check out the videos from and about the workshop on our Vimeo channel

1/24/2014: Interesting essays on statistical concepts that should be retired (from Edge's annual question - 2014): Bart Kosko (statistical independence), N. Nassim Taleb (standard deviation), and Gerd Gigerenzer (adhering to statistical ritual).

11/19/2013: Synthetic Daisies blog post The Inefficiency (and Information Content) of Scientific Discovery.

10/27/2013: Synthetic Daisies blog post Modeling Processes with No Beginning, an Adaptive Middle, and No End.

10/22/2013: Synthetic Daisies blog post The Consensus-Novelty Dampening.

9/10/2013: Synthetic Daisies blog post The Value of Academic Work (brief exploration).

5/5/2013: Synthetic Daisies blog post The significance of influence metrics: some fun with Klout and Google Scholar.

4/20/2013: Synthetic Daisies blog post Replication, Model Organisms, and the Role of Evolutionary Signatures.

3/26/2013: Lecture "Multiscale Integration and Heuristics of Complex Physiological Phenomena" presented at Embryo Physics, Second Life.

2/15/2013: If your results are unpredictable, does it make them any less true? HTDE 2013.1 Available on Figshare, doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.157087

12/5/2012: Synthetic Daisies blog post Triangulating Scientific “Truths”: an ignorant perspective. read


9/8/2012: Synthetic Daisies blog post on "wicked" problems read.

Featured Topics (as of July, 2012)

Bradly Alicea Michigan State (as of November 2014, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign) 3:30 - 4:00 Overview of Hard-to-define Events presentation (slides)   video

Evolving Robotic Intelligence Laboratory Laura Grabowski, Texas Pan-American 4:00 - 4:20 Toward Robotic Intelligence: Evolution of Memory Use in Digital Organisms  abstract   presentation (slides)   video

Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences Nicholas Keeney, Louisiana State. 4:20 - 4:40 Drawing Conclusions from Drunk Fish in Dynamic Environments  abstract   presentation (slides)   video

Institute for Cyber-enabled Research (iCER) Bill Punch, Michigan State 4:40 - 5:00 Parallel Processing and Why it Matters to Everyone  abstract   presentation (slides)   video

Cellular Reprogramming Laboratory Bradly Alicea, Michigan State (as of November 2014, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign) 5:00 - 5:20 Multiscale and Rare Events in Physiology  abstract   presentation (slides)   video

5:20 - 5:30 Discussion/Wrap-up

Levin Lab Michael Levin, Tufts Identifying Hard-to-Define Problems in Regenerative Biology interview

Department of Anthropology and Mermaid's Tale Anne Buchanan, Penn State Rare and Hard-to-predict Events in Human Genetics and Disease interview

4/9/2012:Synthetic Daisies blog post on "leaderless" systems and control read

2/22/2012: Workshop Announcement, call for remote/Second Life participation poster 



 
2/3/2012: Featured in a Synthetic Daisies blog post call for participation

1/28/2012: Synthetic Daisies blog post on (computationally) representing rare events read

1/25/2012: Session accepted to Artificial Life 13 Tutorial Track. Submitted proposal can be seen here.

______________________________________________________________________________________

Links to Interesting Videos on Related Topics:

Extreme Value Theory, an approach to quantifying the potential for rare, unknown events. Link to Video Rare Events, explained in five minutes. Link to Video 

Interview with Nicholas Nassim Taleb (Author of "The Black Swan"). Link to Video 

Interview with David Graeber on Debt and the Construction of Monetary Value. Link to Video 

Kevin Leyton-Brown on an Empirical Approach to Problem Hardness. Link to Video 


Scott Aaronson presents the Complexity Zoo wiki 



Tao Wang on "Identifying Genetic Variants of Complex Diseases". Link to Video

Mermaid's Tale blog post on "Extremophile Microbes". Link to Blog Post 

Cristian Calude on Incompleteness (Google Tech Talks). Link to Video 

Albert Laszlo-Barabasi on his book Bursts (Authors@Google). Link to Video 

Gavin Schmidt on Climate Modeling. Link to Video  

Draught Prediction and Monitoring. COURTESY: US Draught Portal.

Christopher Lee's Robomendel (experiment planning tool) and associated Python code.

Dispatches from the Replication Crisis in science: "Why Most Published Research Findings Are False" and "Is the Replicability Crisis Overblown? Three Arguments Examined".

Prediction Markets. An emerging way to collectively predict the outcomes of events. Link to Video.

Frederic Cazals on Modeling Noisy Data: Towards a Generic Framework Coupling Morse Theory and Persistence Theory (Google Tech Talks). Link to Video 




Maximium Spanning Tree defining "Interdisciplinarity" in the Physics community. From Figure 5 Pan, R.K., Sinha, S., Kaski, K., Saramaki, J. The evolution of interdisciplinarity in physics. arXiv:1206.0108 [physics.soc-ph] (2012).



Drug dose "Over-reactors" characterized in the medical literature. From Figure 4 Burnet et.al Describing Patients Normal Tissue Reactions. International Journal of Cancer, 79, 606-613 (1998).